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NEW QUESTION: 1
In which of the following forecasting techniques is an attempt made to develop forecasts through group consensus?
A. Delphi technique
B. Judgmental forecasting method
C. Casual/econometric method
D. Time series method
Answer: A
Explanation:
Explanation/Reference:
Explanation:
Answer option C is correct.
This approach uses rounds of anonymous surveys to generate a consensus of project risks. Delphi is a technique to identify potential risk. In this technique, the responses are gathered via a questionnaire from different experts and their inputs are organized according to their contents. The collected responses are sent back to these experts for further input, addition, and comments. The final list of risks in the project is prepared after that. The participants in this technique are anonymous and therefore it helps prevent a person from unduly influencing the others in the group. The delphi technique helps in reaching the consensus quickly.
Answer option D is incorrect.The casual/econometric forecasting method uses the assumption that it is possible to identify the underlying factors, which might influence the variable being forecasted. For example, sales of umbrellas might be associated with weather conditions. If the causes are understood, projections of the influencing variables can be made and used in the forecast. Some examples of casual/ econometric forecasting method are as follows:
Regression analysis using linear regression or non-linear regression

Autoregressive moving average (ARMA)

Autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA)

Econometrics

Answer option A is incorrect. Time series methods use historical data as the basis of estimating future outcomes. This category includes earned value, moving average, extrapolation, linear prediction, trend estimation, and growth curve.
Answer option B is incorrect. The judgmental forecasting method incorporates intuitive judgments, opinions and subjective probability estimates. Some examples of judgmental forecasting are as follows:
Composite forecasts

Surveys

Delphi method

Scenario building

Technology forecasting

Forecast by analogy

Reference: "Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK Guide), Fourth edition" Chapter: Procurement and Project Integration Objective: Forecasting and Integrated Change Control

NEW QUESTION: 2
Your network contains an Active Directory domain named contoso.com. The domain contains three Active Directory sites. The Active Directory sites are configured as shown in the following table.

The sites connect to each other by using the site links shown in the following table.

You need to design the Active Directory site topology to meet the following requirements:
Ensure that all replication traffic between Site2 and Site3 replicates through Site1 if a domain controller in Site1 is available.
Ensure that the domain controllers between Site2 and Site3 can replicate if all of the domain controllers in Site1 are unavailable.
What should you do?
A. Delete Link2.
B. Create one site link bridge.
C. Disable site link bridging.
D. Modify the cost of Link2.
E. Delete Link3.
Answer: D

NEW QUESTION: 3
スクラムマスターは、毎日のリソースとプロジェクト活動に関する主要な関係者に情報を提供したいと考えています。
これらの更新を提供するためにスクラムマスターはどのツールを使用する必要がありますか？
A. 速度測定基準
B. リリース燃焼図
C. ビジョンステートメントとスプリントの目標を共有
D. 反復バーンダウンチャート
Answer: D